Regional flood-related displacement hits 500k by end of 2026
Resolves: Total number of people displaced due to flooding in West Africa (Côte d’Ivoire, Ghana, Benin, Togo, Nigeria) reaches or exceeds 500,000 by December 31, 2026.
user-generated· event
Regional flood-related displacement hits 500k by end of 2026
Market overview
The combined floods in West Africa have already displaced thousands. With continued extreme weather and saturated infrastructure, displacement numbers are expected to surge before seasonal rains subside.
event prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 70%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Total number of people displaced due to flooding in West Africa (Côte d’Ivoire, Ghana, Benin, Togo, Nigeria) reaches or exceeds 500,000 by December 31, 2026.
Source: user-generated
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