Catnip lotion adoption in Uganda exceeds 50% by 2027
Resolves: Independent surveys or health ministry data show catnip-based repellent use in at least 50% of rural Ugandan households by 2027-12-31.
user-generated· adoption
Catnip lotion adoption in Uganda exceeds 50% by 2027
Market overview
At least 50% of rural Ugandan households will use catnip-based mosquito repellent lotions by the end of 2027, driven by affordability and local production. This marks a significant shift from synthetic repellents like Deet, which remain cost-prohibitive for most farmers.
adoption prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 75%
- Closes
- 2027-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Independent surveys or health ministry data show catnip-based repellent use in at least 50% of rural Ugandan households by 2027-12-31.
Source: user-generated
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