Will India's annual Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation rate exceed 6.0% for any month between April 2024 and September 2024?

While rates were held steady, the mention of Middle East worries could imply concerns about energy prices, which are a major inflation driver for India. Persistent supply chain disruptions or rising commodity prices could push inflation higher.

Implied probability (Yes)

40%

Closes

2026-09-03