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Kalshi retains over 50% of U.S. prediction market share by year-end 2026

Resolves: Kalshi holds a market share of U.S. prediction market trading volume above 50% for the entire final quarter of 2026, as measured by total notional volume.

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user-generated· crypto

Kalshi retains over 50% of U.S. prediction market share by year-end 2…

Market overview

Kalshi's June 2026 volume of $31 billion and consistent daily performance during the World Cup suggest strong momentum. With growing user adoption and platform features tailored to major events, Kalshi is positioned to maintain dominance in the U.S. prediction market through the remainder of 2026.

crypto prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
68%
Closes
2026-12-31

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

Kalshi holds a market share of U.S. prediction market trading volume above 50% for the entire final quarter of 2026, as measured by total notional volume.

Source: user-generated

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