FIFA reinstates Trump red card within 7 days

Given the rapid suspension and global scrutiny, FIFA is likely to reinstate the red card against Trump within a week to maintain credibility. The decision would signal that political figures are not exempt from World Cup disciplinary actions.

legal · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)

75%

Closes

2026-07-12

More legal markets

• Human rights groups to file major international legal challenges — 80% Yes
• Open Doors Partners faces legal action from Anthropic within 6 months — 55% Yes
• Redistricting litigation filings exceed 50 by mid-2027 — 80% Yes
• Vatican approves major restructuring of diocesan clergy roles by 2027 — 70% Yes
• Colossus 1 data center faces shutdown due to environmental lawsuit within 12 months — 75% Yes
• Catholic Church endorses AI governance framework by 2027 — 70% Yes
• Will the European Court of Human Rights issue an injunction preventing a UK-Rwanda deportation flight by December 31, 2028? — 55% Yes
• Trump assassination attempt trial concludes before 2027 inauguration — 75% Yes

Browse all legal markets →