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user-generated· macro

Chile’s 2027 fiscal deficit widens due to lower Codelco dividends

Lower-than-expected copper production and profits at Codelco will reduce dividends paid to Chile’s government by at least 15% in 2026, forcing a larger 2027 fiscal deficit. The deficit will exceed 2.8% of GDP as copper prices remain high but output declines.

macro · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)
72%
Closes
2027-05-31

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