UK PM Starmer resigns before 2027 end

Market overview

The number of Labour MPs publicly calling for Sir Keir Starmer's resignation will exceed 150 by 31 December 2024, forcing him to step down due to sustained internal party opposition and pressure.

leadership prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

70%

Closes

2027-12-31

Source: user-generated

More leadership markets

• Will CFO resign before 2026-12-31? — 40% Yes
• Rep. Edwards resigns from Congress before 2026 midterms — 55% Yes
• Chuck Edwards to resign before Ethics Committee ruling — 70% Yes
• Witkoff Rubio partnership gains influence in Middle East policy by 2027 — 55% Yes
• Edwards resigns from Congress by end of 2028 — 60% Yes
• Trump administration to nominate a more industry-aligned FDA chief by Labor Day — 68% Yes
• NRCC chair calls for town halls ban by 2027 — 60% Yes
• Will CEO Mark Zediker resign before FYE? — 60% Yes

Browse all leadership markets →