Tinder's swipe-based matching usage increases within 3 months of Bumble's change

Tinder will see a 10% increase in daily active users (DAU) and a 5% rise in paying subscribers within 3 months of Bumble's swipe removal announcement. This assumes users frustrated by Bumble's change will flock to Tinder's familiar swipe mechanic.

Implied probability (Yes)

68%