Will the newly passed Louisiana congressional map, eliminating a majority-Black district, be overturned by a federal court by December 31, 2027?

The Republican-controlled Louisiana legislature has passed a new congressional map that removes one of the state's two majority-Black districts, despite a previous federal court order to create a second one. Legal challenges are highly anticipated, and federal courts have previously intervened in similar gerrymandering cases.

Implied probability (Yes)

70%

Closes

2029-08-27