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user-generated· Economics

Will the average number of SNAP recipients in the United States decre…

Market overview

If Republican-led SNAP changes are enacted, they are often aimed at reducing the program's scope or caseload. This question measures the potential impact of such changes on the overall number of beneficiaries over a two-year period.

Economics prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
45%
Closes
2028-09-30

About this prediction

How this resolves

YES if the official data released by the USDA Food and Nutrition Service shows that the average monthly number of SNAP participants for the 12-month period ending September 30, 2028, is more than 5% lower than the average monthly number of participants for the 12-month period ending September 30, 2026. NO otherwise.

Source: user-generated

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