US active ETF assets exceed $1 trillion by December 2026
Resolves: US active ETF industry AUM reaches or exceeds $1 trillion by 2026-12-31, per Morningstar or Bloomberg Intelligence data
user-generated· adoption
US active ETF assets exceed $1 trillion by December 2026
Market overview
Retail investor adoption of factor-based and thematic ETFs has surged in 2026, as reported by Bloomberg. With inflows accelerating, total active ETF assets in the US are on pace to cross $1 trillion by year-end.
adoption prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 72%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
US active ETF industry AUM reaches or exceeds $1 trillion by 2026-12-31, per Morningstar or Bloomberg Intelligence data
Source: user-generated
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