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South Carolina elects a Democrat to the U.S. Senate in 2026

Resolves: The Democratic candidate is officially declared the winner of the 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election.

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user-generated· event

South Carolina elects a Democrat to the U.S. Senate in 2026

Market overview

The Republican field is now cleared for Darline Graham, who may be a less compelling general election candidate than Nancy Mace. This dynamic, combined with potential Democratic momentum, will lead to an upset victory for the Democratic nominee.

event prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
40%
Closes
2026-11-10

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

The Democratic candidate is officially declared the winner of the 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election.

Source: user-generated

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