At least 10 FIFA member associations vote to suspend Israel by 2027
Resolves: FIFA publishes a public record (minutes, press release, or council vote) showing at least 10 member associations formally voting to suspend Israel’s participation or membership rights.
At least 10 FIFA member associations vote to suspend Israel by 2027
Market overview
The Norwegian-led campaign will gain momentum, securing at least 10 FIFA member votes to suspend Israel by the end of Q1 2027. This threshold is critical as FIFA’s statutes require a two-thirds majority for expulsion, but even symbolic votes will intensify pressure on the governing body.
regulatory prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 70%
- Closes
- 2027-03-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
FIFA publishes a public record (minutes, press release, or council vote) showing at least 10 member associations formally voting to suspend Israel’s participation or membership rights.
Source: user-generated
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