Will the number of reported sexual offenses occurring in or directly outside UK retail premises (excluding large supermarkets) increase by more than 5% in 2024 compared to 2023, according to official crime statistics released by the ONS by June 30, 2025?

Increased scrutiny and media attention on mini-marts might lead to more reporting of incidents, or it could reflect an underlying trend. This question aims to measure a potential statistical impact.

Implied probability (Yes)

30%

Closes

2026-09-09