Michigan Democrats will nominate Haley Stevens over Abdul El-Sayed

With McMorrow out, the Democratic primary shifts to a runoff between moderate Rep. Haley Stevens and progressive Dr. Abdul El-Sayed. Stevens, backed by AIPAC and party leadership, is positioned to consolidate establishment support and win the August 4 primary.

politics · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)

72%

Closes

2026-08-05

More politics markets

• JD Vance partnership or acquisition announced? — 44% Yes
• Will Supreme Court Justices dominate headlines in the next 6-10 months? — 56% Yes
• Border Security breaks new record this year? — 49% Yes
• Immigration Policy faces significant controversy? — 32% Yes
• Virgin Galactic major announcement before March 2027? — 36% Yes
• Will BRICS dominate headlines in the next 12-18 months? — 33% Yes
• Energy Independence major announcement before July 2026? — 55% Yes
• Turnout exceeds 60% in Scottish Parliament election — 80% Yes

Browse all politics markets →