Indonesia will demand Marcus's return before 2026-12-31
Resolves: Indonesia formally submits a written request to Singapore for Marcus's repatriation to Indonesia, as confirmed by official statements or diplomatic correspondence.
user-generated· legal
Indonesia will demand Marcus's return before 2026-12-31
Market overview
Indonesian authorities are investigating alleged child trafficking involving Marcus and at least 19 other children. Given the high-profile nature of the case and diplomatic pressure, Indonesia is likely to formally request Marcus's repatriation before the end of 2026.
legal prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 75%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Indonesia formally submits a written request to Singapore for Marcus's repatriation to Indonesia, as confirmed by official statements or diplomatic correspondence.
Source: user-generated
More legal markets
- US asylum seekers in Equatorial Guinea face increased detention conditions — 60% Yes
- Catnip oil patent filed by Cardiff University team — 55% Yes
- Bending Spoons cuts 1,000+ jobs across portfolio by 2027-06-30 — 75% Yes
- Sarah Khalifa will not be executed by 2027-09-06 — 75% Yes
- Court blocks Trump public charge rule — 65% Yes
- Interpol issues red notices for at least two fugitive suspects from Liberian drug bust within six months — 60% Yes
- Musk wins unjust enrichment claim against OpenAI — 45% Yes
- OpenAI will pay over $500M in settlement to Apple by 2027 — 72% Yes
No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…