Plaid Cymru wins the most Senedd seats in Wales

Market overview

Plaid Cymru will secure the largest number of seats in the 2024 Welsh Senedd election, ending Labour's decades-long dominance. Polling trends and party momentum suggest this outcome is likely, with Plaid positioning itself as the main alternative to Labour.

politics prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

72%

Source: user-generated

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