Will the U.S. and Iran electronically sign an agreement to end the war by Sunday, March 10, 2024?

The headline suggests an imminent electronic signing of an agreement between the U.S. and Iran to end the war. This question directly addresses the core claim of the headline regarding the signing and its timing. Given the historical difficulties in U.S.-Iran relations and the often-protracted nature of such negotiations, a successful signing by Sunday seems ambitious.

Implied probability (Yes)

20%

Closes

2026-09-11