Arabica coffee futures to rise above $3.50/lb by 2026-09-30

Market overview

Arabica coffee futures are currently elevated due to U.S.-Colombia trade tensions, which threaten supply chains. Given the inelastic nature of coffee supply and continued geopolitical friction, prices are likely to sustain their upward trajectory.

commodities prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

72%

Closes

2026-09-30

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• Arabica coffee futures rise above $3.50/lb by 2026-09-30 — 72% Yes
• Colombia exports 15% less coffee by October 2026 due to US tariff dispute — 75% Yes
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