user-generated· Politics
Will Pete Buttigieg be among the top three candidates in the first 20…
Market overview
A 'different path' would ideally lead to strong early support for Buttigieg. Being in the top three of an early national poll would indicate his strategy is gaining traction.
Politics prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 40%
- Closes
- 2028-06-30
About this prediction
How this resolves
YES if Pete Buttigieg is ranked among the top three candidates by percentage of support in the first publicly released national poll of Democratic primary voters for the 2028 election by a major pollster (e.g., Gallup, Reuters/Ipsos, Quinnipiac, CNN/SSRS, Fox News, Marist) after 2028-01-01. NO otherwise.
Source: user-generated
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