Will Darializa Avila Chevalier hold an elected office in the US federal government by January 1, 2029?
Resolves: YES if Darializa Avila Chevalier is sworn into any elected position in the U.S. House of Representatives, U.S. Senate, or as U.S. President/Vice President by the end date. NO otherwise.
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier hold an elected office in the US feder…
Market overview
The headline positions Darializa Avila Chevalier as a prominent figure in a 'socialist insurgency.' For her to hold federal office, she would need to win a congressional seat or other federal election. Given the current political landscape and the challenges for third-party or explicitly socialist candidates, this is a low probability event within a five-year timeframe.
Politics prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 8%
- Closes
- 2029-01-01
About this prediction
How this resolves
YES if Darializa Avila Chevalier is sworn into any elected position in the U.S. House of Representatives, U.S. Senate, or as U.S. President/Vice President by the end date. NO otherwise.
Source: user-generated
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