Gas tax suspension reduces U.S. average gasoline price by 10% within 6 months

If the gas tax suspension is enacted, the U.S. average gasoline price will decline by at least 10% within six months due to reduced federal taxes. The price drop will be measured against the baseline of $4.52 per gallon as of May 11, 2026, adjusted for seasonal trends.

Implied probability (Yes)

60%