House passes Kiley’s midcycle redistricting ban by December 2027

Market overview

The discharge petition gains bipartisan support, including backing from Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries (D-N.Y.), leading to a House vote. The bill passes with at least 218 votes, overriding leadership opposition from both parties.

legal prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

35%

Closes

2027-12-31

Source: user-generated

More legal markets

• Prince Andrew faces legal consequences over Pizza Express alibi claim by 2027 — 70% Yes
• Lakers stake sale blocked by court — 70% Yes
• Platner’s campaign faces legal consequences by 2027 — 55% Yes
• UK court conviction probability exceeds 70% by 2027-06-30 — 75% Yes
• Supreme Court upholds FDA approval of mifepristone by June 2026 — 60% Yes
• Tennessee redistricting plan blocked before 2026 midterms — 75% Yes
• Cruise line faces $2M+ in legal claims from passengers by Q2 2028 — 70% Yes
• Will a US state government execute a prisoner via livestream broadcast to the public or designated observers by December 31, 2030? — 15% Yes

Browse all legal markets →