Will the United States re-enter the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) by December 31, 2024?

Trump's comment about Iran's potential to 'change their mind' highlights the instability of the current nuclear situation. Re-entry into the JCPOA would signify a significant shift in diplomatic strategy and potentially stabilize the agreement, reflecting a change in US policy.

Implied probability (Yes)

15%

Closes

2026-09-01