Will the yield on the German 10-year bund fall below -0.50% by December 31, 2024?

The headline suggests a 'peace deal' could reduce geopolitical risk, potentially driving investors to safer assets like German bunds, thus lowering yields. However, current yields are already low, making a significant further drop less likely without major economic downturns.

Implied probability (Yes)

30%

Closes

2026-09-10