Medicare Advantage enrollment declines in key swing states by 2030
Resolves: Medicare Advantage enrollment in Colorado, New York, and Illinois decreases by 15% or more compared to 2027 levels, based on CMS enrollment data.
user-generated· adoption
Medicare Advantage enrollment declines in key swing states by 2030
Market overview
Following the 2028 elections and progressive healthcare advocacy, enrollment in Medicare Advantage plans drops by at least 15% in swing states like Colorado, New York, and Illinois by 2030. Voters shift toward traditional Medicare due to cost concerns and messaging around single-payer healthcare.
adoption prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 55%
- Closes
- 2030-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Medicare Advantage enrollment in Colorado, New York, and Illinois decreases by 15% or more compared to 2027 levels, based on CMS enrollment data.
Source: user-generated
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