UK Ministry of Justice expands electronic monitoring by 20% by 2027
Resolves: The Ministry of Justice confirms funding and implementation of an electronic monitoring expansion program that increases the total number of monitored individuals by at least 20% compared to March 2026 levels (from 28,700 to 34,440+).
UK Ministry of Justice expands electronic monitoring by 20% by 2027
Market overview
The Ministry of Justice has pledged £100m to expand electronic monitoring and announced plans under the Sentencing Act 2026. Given the NAO report highlighting systemic failures, the government is likely to accelerate deployment to address public safety concerns and reduce unmonitored offenders.
regulatory prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 72%
- Closes
- 2027-03-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
The Ministry of Justice confirms funding and implementation of an electronic monitoring expansion program that increases the total number of monitored individuals by at least 20% compared to March 2026 levels (from 28,700 to 34,440+).
Source: user-generated
More regulatory markets
- Crypto billionaire Harborne faces FCA scrutiny over £5m gift — 55% Yes
- Crypto billionaire Harborne will face FCA scrutiny — 60% Yes
- Crypto billionaire Christopher Harborne’s donation triggers FCA inquiry into funding transparency — 70% Yes
- Crypto billionaire Christopher Harborne will face parliamentary scrutiny over £5m gift — 55% Yes
- Harborne crypto holdings face regulatory scrutiny — 60% Yes
- SEC approves at least 2 new Bitcoin ETFs by Q4 2027 — 75% Yes
- SEC approves Kalshi's crypto futures products by 2026-Q3 — 55% Yes
- Iran's central bank bans crypto mining by 2027 Q1 — 85% Yes