Will the FAA issue any additional stop-work orders or launch suspensions for Starship operations by September 30, 2027, directly related to the V3 booster failure?
Resolves: YES if the FAA publicly issues any new stop-work orders or launch suspensions for Starship operations, explicitly citing the V3 booster failure as a direct cause, by September 30, 2024. NO otherwise.
Will the FAA issue any additional stop-work orders or launch suspensi…
Market overview
Following the V3 booster failure, the FAA is conducting an investigation. This question assesses the likelihood of further regulatory action impacting Starship launches within the next few months.
Legal prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 55%
- Closes
- 2029-08-25
About this prediction
How this resolves
YES if the FAA publicly issues any new stop-work orders or launch suspensions for Starship operations, explicitly citing the V3 booster failure as a direct cause, by September 30, 2024. NO otherwise.
Source: user-generated
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