Will Hong Kong have between 425-450mm of precipitation in August?
Market overview
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between August 1 and August 31, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in August 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range. If the relevant data is not available by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
General prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 4%
- Closes
- 2026-08-31
More General markets
- Will Nuclear Energy dominate headlines in the next 6-10 months? — 34% Yes
- Wind Energy achieves major milestone? — 59% Yes
- Will ADHD dominate headlines in the next 12-18 months? — 67% Yes
- Andor achieves major milestone? — 28% Yes
- Supplements major announcement before November 2026? — 41% Yes
- Apple Watch major announcement before July 2027? — 78% Yes
- Will Star Wars dominate headlines in the next 6-10 months? — 72% Yes
- Home Depot faces significant controversy? — 68% Yes