Will the average UK retirement age, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS), increase by at least 6 months by December 31, 2026?

If workers are not on track for moderate pensions, one common response is to work longer. This trend is already observable, and the reported shortfall could accelerate it, but a 6-month increase in two years is a notable jump.

Implied probability (Yes)

45%

Closes

2026-12-31