Will the US Bureau of Labor Statistics report that non-farm payrolls increased by fewer than 150,000 in its next release?

The headline suggests caution in industrial metals due to an upcoming jobs report. A lower-than-expected jobs number could indicate economic cooling, impacting demand for industrial metals. The consensus forecast for the next report is often around 170,000-200,000, so a number below 150,000 would be a significant miss.

Implied probability (Yes)

35%

Closes

2026-09-03