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Netflix stock drops 15% within 30 days of Q3 2026 earnings

Resolves: Netflix's closing stock price on October 15, 2026, or any trading day within the next 30 days, is at least 15% lower than its closing price on October 15, 2026

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Netflix stock drops 15% within 30 days of Q3 2026 earnings

Market overview

Netflix's stock declines by 15% or more in the 30-day window following its Q3 2026 earnings release, driven by weak subscriber guidance and concerns over the binge model's viability. The drop occurs despite beating earnings expectations by $0.05 EPS.

price prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
60%
Closes
2026-11-15

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

Netflix's closing stock price on October 15, 2026, or any trading day within the next 30 days, is at least 15% lower than its closing price on October 15, 2026

Source: user-generated

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