Will the United States impose new sanctions on Iran related to its nuclear program by December 31, 2024?

The 'Trump flags Iran deal' comment could signal a more hawkish stance on Iran, potentially leading to increased pressure. While the current administration's policy is distinct, the political rhetoric could influence future actions or set the stage for a potential change in policy if there's a change in administration. However, international diplomacy and existing sanctions might limit new measures.

Implied probability (Yes)

40%

Closes

2026-09-10