Will a Republican flip a currently Democratic-held U.S. House seat in California in the 2027 general election?
Resolves: YES if any U.S. House seat currently held by a Democrat in California is won by a Republican candidate in the November 5, 2024 general election. NO otherwise.
user-generated· Politics
Will a Republican flip a currently Democratic-held U.S. House seat in…
Market overview
House Democrats are closely watching California primaries due to the state's importance in the overall House balance. A strong Republican primary showing could indicate vulnerability for Democratic incumbents in the general election.
Politics prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 25%
- Closes
- 2029-08-31
About this prediction
How this resolves
YES if any U.S. House seat currently held by a Democrat in California is won by a Republican candidate in the November 5, 2024 general election. NO otherwise.
Source: user-generated
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