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SpaceX Nasdaq-100 weight drops below 1% by year-end 2026

Resolves: SpaceX's index weight within the Nasdaq-100 as of December 31, 2026 is less than 1.0%.

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SpaceX Nasdaq-100 weight drops below 1% by year-end 2026

Market overview

SpaceX's initial 1.3% weighting may decline due to stock price appreciation and float expansion from insider sales. If the stock rises significantly or more shares enter the float, its index weight could shrink below 1% by December 31, 2026.

price prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
55%
Closes
2026-12-31

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

SpaceX's index weight within the Nasdaq-100 as of December 31, 2026 is less than 1.0%.

Source: user-generated

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