user-generated· World
Will the number of unaccompanied minor migrants in Ceuta decrease by…
Market overview
The current situation suggests a significant number of teen migrants are on the streets due to a slow response. This question gauges whether future actions by Spain or Morocco, or changes in migration patterns, will lead to a measurable reduction in the population of unaccompanied minors present in Ceuta.
World prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 40%
- Closes
- 2028-06-30
About this prediction
How this resolves
YES if official Spanish government statistics or reports from major international organizations (e.g., UNHCR, IOM) confirm a decrease of 20% or more in the number of unaccompanied minor migrants residing in Ceuta between 2026-10-10 and 2028-06-30. NO otherwise.
Source: user-generated
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