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GOP primary runoff in South Carolina special election

Resolves: A runoff election is scheduled and held for the South Carolina Senate special election primary before 2026-11-15.

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user-generated· event

GOP primary runoff in South Carolina special election

Market overview

With multiple candidates likely to enter the race, a runoff election will be required under South Carolina law if no candidate secures a majority in the special primary. Historical turnout patterns and competitive dynamics suggest a runoff is highly probable.

event prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
75%
Closes
2026-11-15

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

A runoff election is scheduled and held for the South Carolina Senate special election primary before 2026-11-15.

Source: user-generated

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