user-generated· event
Haley Stevens wins Michigan Senate primary on August 4 2026
With McMorrow out, Stevens secures the Democratic nomination by consolidating moderate support. AIPAC backing and pro-Israel positioning give her an edge over El-Sayed in a high-turnout primary. Polling shows Stevens leading by 12-15 points post-McMorrow exit.
event · Prediction Market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 72%
- Closes
- 2026-08-04
More event markets
- Scottish government orders Higher Maths exam review by November 2027 — 75% Yes
- Chuck Edwards resigns before probe concludes — 70% Yes
- Sudan overtakes Syria as top country for conflict-driven internal displacement — 85% Yes
- Witkoff Rubio-Qatar Deal Collapses Due to Geopolitical Risks — 60% Yes
- Belgium advances past U.S. in World Cup Round of 16 — 70% Yes
- Kevin Kiley's petition fails to secure 218 signatures by end of 2026 — 65% Yes
- Frederica Wilson loses 2026 Florida primary bid — 62% Yes
- Eurovision bans Israel for 2028 due to ongoing Gaza conflict — 55% Yes
Loading…