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TikTok under-13 user base declines 15%+ by Dec 2026

Resolves: TikTok publicly reports under-13 daily active users as ≤15% of total daily active users in Q4 2026 earnings report or similar official disclosure.

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user-generated· regulatory

TikTok under-13 user base declines 15%+ by Dec 2026

Market overview

TikTok's daily under-13 user count falls below 15% of total daily active users by December 31, 2026.

regulatory prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
72%
Closes
2026-12-31

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

TikTok publicly reports under-13 daily active users as ≤15% of total daily active users in Q4 2026 earnings report or similar official disclosure.

Source: user-generated

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