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S&P 500 gains 1% or more if April jobs add over 125,000

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S&P 500 gains 1% or more if April jobs add over 125,000

Market overview

JPMorgan assigns a 10% probability to this scenario, where payroll growth exceeds 125,000, potentially signaling economic overheating. Historically, such strong job growth has been bullish for equities as it reduces stagflation concerns.

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Implied probability (Yes)
10%

Source: user-generated

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