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Global DEET market share declines by 15% due to catnip lotion adoption

Resolves: NielsenIQ/IRI retail sales data shows DEET-based repellent market share (by revenue) decreasing by at least 15 percentage points compared to the pre-study baseline (June 2026).

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Global DEET market share declines by 15% due to catnip lotion adoption

Market overview

Within 12 months of the Uganda study publication, major DEET-based repellent brands (e.g., OFF!, Cutter) will report a 15% drop in global market share as consumers switch to catnip-based alternatives. Sales data from NielsenIQ and IRI will confirm the decline.

product prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
68%
Closes
2027-07-31

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

NielsenIQ/IRI retail sales data shows DEET-based repellent market share (by revenue) decreasing by at least 15 percentage points compared to the pre-study baseline (June 2026).

Source: user-generated

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