user-generated· tech_stocks
Tech stocks (SPY) outperform Nasdaq-100 by August 15, 2026
The $50M purchase of 2,000 500-strike SPY calls expiring July 24 reflects strong bullish positioning in the S&P 500. If this trade proves prescient, SPY will outperform the Nasdaq-100 over the subsequent two weeks.
tech_stocks · Prediction Market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 60%
- Closes
- 2026-08-15
More tech_stocks markets
- Microsoft's stock rises 10% within three months post-Xbox spin-off — 70% Yes
- Apple shares rise by 5% within 30 days of iOS 27 public launch — 70% Yes
- Cloudflare's competitors follow with similar AI-driven layoffs — 60% Yes
- OpenAI integrates custom voice controls for ChatGPT by Q4 2026 — 75% Yes
- OpenAI releases a full-duplex AI model within 12 months — 70% Yes
- Nvidia closes above $1,500 by 2026-08-31 — 72% Yes
- S&P 500 drops below 4,500 by end of 2026 due to Fed tightening — 65% Yes
- NASDAQ 100 to close above 20,000 by June 15 — 70% Yes
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