JPMorgan shifts UK operations to Frankfurt by 2027

Market overview

JPMorgan will accelerate its existing plans to move key UK operations to Frankfurt as a direct consequence of the UK's bank tax hike and the cancellation of the new UK HQ. The transfer of staff and assets will begin within 12 months of the tax hike's passage.

adoption prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

60%

Source: user-generated

More adoption markets

• Daily active crypto users surpass 100 million by mid-2026 — 60% Yes
• Kalshi’s market share in crypto derivatives surpasses 5% by Q4 2027 — 55% Yes
• Kalshi's crypto perpetual futures launch by 2026-Q4 — 75% Yes
• Family offices double down on crypto-adjacent mining firms within 6 months — 72% Yes
• Nigeria's crypto transaction volume exceeds $5B in 2026 — 80% Yes
• AI and crypto groups increase political ad spending in 2026 midterms — 80% Yes
• Crypto and AI groups double political ad spending by 2027 — 75% Yes
• Crypto billionaire Harborne will increase donations to Farage by 20% by Mar 2027 — 60% Yes

Browse all adoption markets →