Cruise industry stock prices drop 15% due to hantavirus outbreak fears

The hantavirus outbreak linked to the MV Hondius will erode investor confidence in the cruise industry, leading to a 15% or greater decline in major cruise line stocks (e.g., Carnival Corporation, Royal Caribbean) by the end of Q1 2025. This reflects heightened regulatory scrutiny and reduced booking demand.

Implied probability (Yes)

75%