user-generated· valuation
OpenAI's valuation drops below SoftBank's cost basis
Market overview
SoftBank's OpenAI stake cost over $30 billion, but rapid AI competition and regulatory scrutiny could pressure OpenAI's valuation. A decline in valuation below $30 billion would erase SoftBank's reported gains.
valuation prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 30%
More valuation markets
- Sambanova valuation exceeds $15B within 12 months of Series F close — 65% Yes
- Phia's valuation drops by 30% within 6 months due to scandal — 80% Yes
- SpaceX IPO valuation drops below $200B post-xAI dissolution — 60% Yes
- Anthropic's valuation will exceed $1 trillion by year-end 2026 — 72% Yes
- Lovable’s valuation exceeds $15B within 12 months of funding close — 60% Yes
- OpenAI to exceed $100B valuation by December 2026 — 72% Yes
- Ramp doubles valuation within 18 months of A* Fund III investment — 72% Yes
- Helsing valuation to exceed $25B within 12 months — 70% Yes
Loading…