Social Security payroll tax revenue declines 2% in 2028

As the 45-64 population shrinks, fewer workers remain in peak earning years, reducing payroll tax contributions. The Social Security Administration projects a 2% YoY decline in payroll tax revenue for 2028, driven by demographic shifts reported in Census 2025 data.

macro · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)

75%

Closes

2029-01-01

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