S&P 500 rises 8% within 3 months of PCE revision
Resolves: S&P 500 closes at least 8% higher than the September 30, 2026 close on any trading day within 90 days after the revision.
user-generated· price
S&P 500 rises 8% within 3 months of PCE revision
Market overview
The PCE revision will signal disinflation, reducing real yields and boosting equities. Historical precedents (e.g., 2023-2024 disinflation episodes) show S&P 500 gains of ~8% within 3 months of similar inflation data improvements.
price prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 68%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
S&P 500 closes at least 8% higher than the September 30, 2026 close on any trading day within 90 days after the revision.
Source: user-generated
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