user-generated· macro
UK GDP growth exceeds 0.5% in Q2 2027
The UK economy grew 0.6% in Q1 2025 despite geopolitical tensions. Given the momentum and resilience shown, it is likely to sustain similar growth in Q2. The IMF previously underestimated UK resilience, suggesting upside risk to forecasts.
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 70%
- Closes
- 2027-12-31
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