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user-generated· macro

UK GDP growth exceeds 0.5% in Q2 2027

The UK economy grew 0.6% in Q1 2025 despite geopolitical tensions. Given the momentum and resilience shown, it is likely to sustain similar growth in Q2. The IMF previously underestimated UK resilience, suggesting upside risk to forecasts.

Implied probability (Yes)
70%
Closes
2027-12-31
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