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US Arabica coffee prices remain elevated through Q1 2027

Resolves: Arabica coffee futures prices (ICE) average at least $2.50 per pound for January, February, and March 2027, and US retail coffee prices are 15-20% higher than January 2025 levels.

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US Arabica coffee prices remain elevated through Q1 2027

Market overview

The US-Colombia tariff dispute will keep Arabica coffee prices above $2.50 per pound through the first quarter of 2027, despite potential mitigation efforts. Retail coffee prices in the US will also remain 15-20% higher than pre-tariff levels.

price prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
85%
Closes
2027-03-31

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

Arabica coffee futures prices (ICE) average at least $2.50 per pound for January, February, and March 2027, and US retail coffee prices are 15-20% higher than January 2025 levels.

Source: user-generated

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