Will the 30-year fixed mortgage rate in the US fall below 6.5% by October 31, 2024?

Sellers pulling homes could be a reaction to high mortgage rates impacting buyer demand. A significant drop in rates could encourage sellers to re-list and buyers to re-enter the market. This question explores a key factor influencing the housing market.

Implied probability (Yes)

35%

Closes

2026-09-01